Question 1

What is mirai-shigoto.com?

Accepted Answer

An independent (unofficial) analysis site that visualizes Japan's 552 occupations from MHLW jobtag, scored 0–10 for AI replacement risk by Claude Opus 4.7. Bilingual (Japanese + English), MIT licensed. Not operated by 厚生労働省 (MHLW), 職業情報提供サイト (jobtag), or 独立行政法人 労働政策研究・研修機構 (JILPT).

Question 2

How are the AI risk scores calculated?

Accepted Answer

Scored by Claude Opus 4.7 using a calibrated 0–10 rubric across all 552 occupations. The rubric is anchored on Karpathy's BLS exposure framework and ported to Japan's labor market context. Each occupation is evaluated independently.

Question 3

Are these scores official government forecasts?

Accepted Answer

No. They are LLM (Claude Opus 4.7) estimates and should be treated as opinion-grade visualization, not statistical truth. They are not endorsed by MHLW, jobtag, or JILPT.

Question 4

What does an AI risk score of 9/10 mean?

Accepted Answer

It reflects how much the work may be reshaped by AI, not the probability the job disappears. A high score means most core tasks are PC-completable and could be augmented or automated by AI tooling.

Question 5

Which occupation has the most workers in Japan, and what is its AI risk?

Accepted Answer

一般事務 (General office clerk), with approximately 2.63 million workers, scores 9/10 — the highest-risk bracket among Japan's largest occupations.

Question 6

Which occupations score lowest on AI risk?

Accepted Answer

Occupations requiring physical presence, on-site judgment, or interpersonal interaction: 潜水士 (diver) ≈ 1/10, 保育士 (childcare worker) ≈ 3/10, 看護師 (nurse) ≈ 4/10.

Question 7

What share of Japan's working population is in high-risk (≥7/10) occupations?

Accepted Answer

About 34% of Japan's working population is in occupations scoring 7 or higher on the AI risk rubric.

Question 8

Where does the data come from?

Accepted Answer

厚生労働省 (MHLW) job tag and 独立行政法人 労働政策研究・研修機構 (JILPT) public datasets. AI risk scores are computed independently by Claude Opus 4.7 against a calibrated rubric.

Question 9

Is the data downloadable?

Accepted Answer

Yes. A compact JSON of all 552 occupations (treemap-shape) is at https://mirai-shigoto.com/data.treemap.json (~80 KB gzipped). Per-occupation detail records and the AI-scoring runs are at https://github.com/jasonhnd/jobs. MIT licensed; underlying IPD data © JILPT, used per their TOS Article 9.

Question 10

How should I cite this site?

Accepted Answer

Mirai Shigoto (2026). Japan Jobs × AI Impact Map. https://mirai-shigoto.com/ — Always note: AI risk scores are LLM estimates, not official government forecasts.

あなたの仕事はAI 時代にどう変わる？ How will your job change in the AI era?

日本の職業 AI 影響マップ Japan Jobs × AI Impact Map — 公開職業データをもとにした非公式の独自分析 — Independent analysis of public occupation data (unofficial)

あなたの仕事の AI 影響度を見る See your job's AI impact